This article should have been on the front page of every newspaper, and the lead headline on every website:
That looks like a bygone era.
The idea that the Saudis were sitting on a ton of 'spare capacity' was one of the beliefs that backstopped the faith of "we will never run out of supply".
Additionally, the people at Bison Interests and Nine Point partners have been talking about the Myth of Saudi Arabia's Spare Capacity for at least 18 months.
They were, of course, called "conspiracy theorists". They're not called that anymore.
Saudi Arabia has set a hard limit on what it will pump. This is unprecedented. Why they're announcing it now is anybody's guess, but Javier Blas, a reliable and fearless source within The Machine, spells it out (emphasis mine):
"If the obstacle to boosting production is geology, rather than pessimism about future oil demand, the world faces a rocky period if consumption turns to be stronger than currently expected. For now, Saudi peak production is a relatively distant matter, at least five years away. More urgent is whether Riyadh would be able to sustain its current output of 11 million — something it has achieved only twice in its history, and then only briefly — let alone increase it further. But that ceiling will matter towards the end of the decade, and perhaps even earlier.Despite widespread talk about peak oil demand, the truth is that, for now at least, consumption keeps growing. The world relies heavily on three nations for crude: the US, Saudi Arabia and Russia. Together, they account for nearly 45% of global total oil supply. With US investors unwilling to finance a return to the days of “drill, baby, drill” at home, American output growth is now slower than it was in the 2010s. Russia faces an even darker outlook as the impact of Western sanctions not only curb current supply, but also hinder its ability to expand in the future."
- Brazil
- Russia
- India
- China
- South Africa
- Iran
- Argentina
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